Close spreads are games to usually avoid in NFL survivor pools, but there are so many in the Week 12 NFL schedule that these games may be inescapable for Week 12 NFL knockout picks. Seven matchups on Sunday alone have spreads of a field goal or less, including Giants vs. Patriots (-3) and Browns vs. Broncos (-2.5). Facing rookie quarterbacks like Tommy DeVito for New York and Dorian Thompson-Robinson for Cleveland may make backing the Pats and Broncos, respectively, appealing in Week 12 NFL survivor picks. But are there even better options to get behind with one-third of NFL teams already off the board in NFL knockout pools?

Before you make your Week 12 NFL survivor picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

In Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season, we can tell you the model is shying away from the 5-5 Colts even though they are 2-point home favorites over the 4-6 Buccaneers. Indianapolis hasn't been much of a home-field advantage for the Colts, who are just 1-4 at home. That's tied for the fewest home wins of any team this season, while the Bucs have already upset teams like the Saints and Vikings on the road. Also, just four NFL teams have a better turnover differential than Tampa's +6, and the Bucs have won their last two games against the Colts. The model sees much better options than Indy in Week 12 NFL survivor picks, so it is avoiding the Colts on Sunday.

Instead, the model is backing a team with a proven track record against a Week 12 opponent that has lost back-to-back games! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool this week. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

What is the optimal Week 12 NFL survivor pool pick? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the SportsLine Projection Model's shocking Week 12 survivor pick, all from the model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception!