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Mike Norvell leads the Florida State Seminoles for his seventh season as head coach, as they look to end a two-year bowl drought starting with a Week 0 matchup with the New Mexico State Aggies. The Seminoles went 13-1 in a stellar 2023 season, but followed it up with a shocking 2-10 dud. Improvements were made in a 5-6 campaign in 2025. New Mexico State went 3-9 in 2024 for new coach Tony Sanchez, then 4-8 last year. Visit our DraftKings promo code review and get $150 in bonus bets instantly as a new user after $5+ in wagers here:
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Fla. The Seminoles are 30.5-point favorites in the latest New Mexico State vs. Florida State odds, while the over/under is 53 points.
Before making any New Mexico State vs. Florida State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. It is on a 31-19 run on top-rated CFB money-line picks since the 2024 season, and it has been upgraded for the 2026 season to even better factor in the transfer portal!
The model has simulated New Mexico State vs. Florida State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations!
So who wins New Mexico State vs. Florida State, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is on a 31-19 run on top-rated CFB picks!
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