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Netflix MMA card: Combat analyst reveals best bets for Rousey vs. Carano, Diaz vs. Perry and more

SportsLine combat expert Josh Nagel has released his top selections for Saturday's MMA card in Los Angeles

By@JoshNagel1Published: May 16, 2026 11:18PM UTC . 3 min read

Former UFC champion Ronda Rousey takes on former EliteXC contender Gina Carano on Saturday as Netflix presents a full MVP MMA card featuring numerous iconic figures in the sport. The five-round main event tops the main fight card (9 p.m. ET) from the Intuit Dome in Los Angeles, which also features Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins, Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry and more. 

Rousey is a -625 betting favorite (risk $625 to win $100), while Carano is priced at +455 (risk $100 to win $455) in the latest MMA odds for the Netflix MMA card. The over/under for total rounds completed is 1.5, with the Under favored at -230.

Before locking in your Netflix MMA card picks, you NEED to see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine combat analyst Josh Nagel.

Nagel, who is the combat sports editor for SportsLine, is an experienced and successful boxing analyst. He previously served as SportsLine's main boxing analyst and covered the sport for multiple outlets for more than 20 years. He has recently returned to his role as SportsLine's top boxing analyst and had a massively profitable 2025 campaign. Perhaps his biggest winner was calling Terence Crawford (+140) against Canelo Alvarez in their September mega fight, while also correctly advising SportsLine members to take Crawford specifically by decision (+220). 

His MMA selections include calling Sean Strickland (+220) over Anthony Hernandez and Charles Oliveira (+150) over Max Holloway. Anyone who has followed Nagel's combat sports picks this year could already be up more than $2,500!

Now, with the Netflix MMA card approaching, Nagel has studied the card from every angle and locked in his best bets.

One of his best bets is for Ngannou-Lins to go Over 1.5 total rounds (+200). "If Lins can disrupt Ngannou's attack with some takedowns and ground control, we could see this getting past the first round, and this prop feels like the best plus-money position on this fight," Nagel said. 

Nagel also has strong picks for Rousey vs. Carano and other bouts on the Netflix MMA card. He's also backing a fighter who is "the most viable underdog to win outright on a card that is difficult to mine for value spots," to emerge with a big victory. You ABSOLUTELY need to see Nagel's picks before making any of your own!

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