The Atlanta Braves will look to stay hot to start the season when they battle the New York Mets in a key National League East matchup on Thursday. The Braves (7-3), who have won five of seven, are 56-30 at home since the start of the 2023 season. The Mets (4-7), who have won three of five road games, are looking to win their second series of the year. Atlanta has dominated New York of late and has won the last six season series, including winning 10 of 13 games a year ago.

First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 12:20 p.m. ET. The Braves are the -169 money-line favorites (risk $169 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Braves odds, while New York is a +143 underdog. The over/under for total runs scored is 9.5. Before you make any Braves vs. Mets picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It is coming off a profitable 93-74 season on top-rated MLB picks, and it excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following it has seen big returns.

The model knows Braves shortstop Orlando Arcia has been solid since coming over from the Milwaukee Brewers in 2021. In Monday's 8-7 loss to the Mets, he was 3-for-5 with a run scored. He has five multi-hit games, including three three-hit performances. For the year, he is batting .385 with two RBI and four runs scored. In 42 career games against the Mets, he is batting .259 with six doubles, three homers and 13 RBI.

The model also knows Mets third baseman Brett Baty is off to a solid start to the year, with a .325 batting average, including one homer, five RBI and four runs scored. Baty has a five-game hitting streak, including a 3-for-5 effort in Monday's win over the Braves. He has three multi-hit games, with two two-hit games at Cincinnati on Friday and Saturday. In 10 career games against Atlanta, Baty is hitting .378 with one double, two homers and five RBI.

For Thursday, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Braves. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see the model before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Mets vs. Braves, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side you should be all over, all from the model that's coming off a profitable season on top-rated MLB picks!