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Mets vs. Astros odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Wednesday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Wednesday's matchup between the New York Mets and the Houston Astros
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The New York Mets and Houston Astros face off in an inter-league battle between high-end teams at 2:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Houston is listed as a -135 favorite (risk $135 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 8 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). Before making any Mets vs. Astros picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It's on a 56-47 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 11 weeks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the Mets have the best record in the the National League. The team boasts league-leading marks in runs, hits, and batting average. New York also has a strong starting pitching option for Wednesday in veteran Carlos Carrasco. He has a 3.74 ERA since May 1 and a career 3.69 ERA against Houston. Carrasco is also giving up only 0.7 home runs and 1.9 walks per nine innings while striking out a batter per inning in 2022.

The model also knows the Astros have home-field advantage and plenty of positive traits. Houston has a powerful offense that ranks in the top three of the AL in home runs. The Astros can also lean on starting pitcher Luis Garcia, who boasts a 3.43 career ERA and a 3.41 ERA this season. Garcia finished No. 2 in AL Rookie of the Year voting a season ago, and he has an impressive 1.03 WHIP with opponents posting a .654 OPS against him this season.

Now, it has set its sights on Mets vs. Astros. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one team has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Mets vs. Astros? And which team has all the value on the money line? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mets vs. Astros matchup you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!

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SportsLine Staff