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    Mavericks vs. Warriors line, picks: Odds and predictions for Sunday's NBA matchup from advanced computer model

    SportsLine's projection model generated its selections for Sunday night's matchup between Dallas and Golden State at Chase Center
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    The Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday night in a battle of Western Conference contenders. Golden State (43-17) returned from the All-Star break with a 132-95 blowout of the Trail Blazers on Thursday night. Dallas (35-25) suffered a 114-109 setback to fellow contender Utah on Friday.  

    Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 3.5-point favorite in its latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds, and the Over-Under for total points is set at 218. (Check out our  NBA odds page for up-to-date odds on every game available). 

    Before you lock in any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

    The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 69-41 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,300. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

    The Warriors mauled the Mavericks 103-92 in the last meeting, shooting 53.3 percent from the field and holding a huge edge in defensive rebounds (46-29). Steph Curry had 18 points and nine rebounds (seven defensive) in the matchup. He averages 25.7 points and makes 4.6 three-pointers per game, easily the most in the NBA. The Warriors are 10th in the league in scoring (111 points per game) and are fourth in points allowed (103.6). Dallas is 24th in the NBA in scoring (106.7) and averages almost 2.5 fewer rebounds.

    Meanwhile, the Mavs have a superstar of their own in Luka Doncic, who is sixth in the NBA in scoring (27.4) and fifth in assists (9.1). He scored 25 in the last meeting and 26 in the first matchup of the season, a 99-83 Mavs victory in Dallas back on Jan. 5. Doncic scored 23 and Dwight Powell had a season-high 22 on Friday as Dallas hung with Utah but couldn't overcome its hot shooting. The Mavericks are second in the NBA in scoring defense (103.2 per game), and opponents shoot just 33.6 percent from three-point range (sixth).

    The model has locked in on the Mavericks vs. Warriors matchup, and we can tell you it is leaning Over the total. It also shows one side of the spread hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

    Who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks on Sunday night? And which side of the spread is hitting nearly 70 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

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    SportsLine Staff

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