The Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western Conference matchup at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Golden State is favored by three points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 210.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 58-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Mavericks are playing exceedingly well on defense. Dallas is allowing 106.1 points per 100 possessions, ranking in the top five in defensive rating. The Mavericks are leading the NBA in 3-pointers allowed, giving up 10.7 triples per game, and opponents are shooting 33.6 percent from 3-point range against Dallas. The Mavericks are in the top 10 in free-throw attempts allowed, assists allowed and defensive rebound rate.

The model also knows the Warriors are the NBA's top defensive team. Golden State is yielding fewer than 1.03 points per possession, leading the NBA, and the Warriors are also No. 1 in field-goal percentage allowed and assists allowed. The Warriors are No. 3 in 3-point percentage allowed, with top-six marks in turnovers created, defensive rebound rate, steals per game and points allowed in the paint. Opponents also produce only 11.5 fast-break points per game against the Warriors, and Golden State is also potent on offense behind the NBA's best passing profile. 

Now, it has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Warriors. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Mavericks vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!