Mavericks vs. Nuggets line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Friday matchup

The Denver Nuggets (2-2) will host the Dallas Mavericks (3-1) in a Western Conference battle at 10 p.m. ET on Friday. Denver is favored by two points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 215.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page).

Before making Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters Week 2 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 103-68 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Denver has been extremely efficient on offense. Reigning MVP Nikola Jokic's scoring and playmaking has helped the Nuggets post a league-high 48.4 field goal percentage. He's shooting a ridiculous 67.7 percent from the field and 46.6 from three. However, the big man's status for Friday is up in the air because of a knee injury.

The model also knows the Mavericks offense has had a hard time adjusting under new leadership. Dallas has struggled to create quality looks under Jason Kidd. As a result, only the Detroit Pistons and Toronto Raptors have a lower team field goal percentage. 

Now, it has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Nuggets. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Mavericks vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Nuggets spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!