Mavericks vs. Hawks line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Friday matchup

The Atlanta Hawks host the Dallas Mavericks in an NBA showdown at State Farm Arena at 7 p.m. ET on Friday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Mavericks as 1.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 245.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Mavericks vs. Hawks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 48-25 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Mavericks should benefit from Atlanta's defensive struggles. The Hawks are giving up more than 1.19 points per possession this season, with the Mavericks bringing an above-average offense into this matchup. Atlanta is also in the bottom five of the NBA in opponent shooting, assists allowed, second-chance points allowed, and fast break points allowed. The Mavericks can take advantage of those weaknesses, and Dallas commits only 12.2 turnovers per game this season.

The model also knows Atlanta brings a strong offense to the table. The Hawks have strong shot creation from their backcourt, and Atlanta is adept at the free throw line. The Hawks are near the top of the league in free throw creation (24.7 attempts per game) and free throw accuracy (81.0%). Atlanta is also in the top ten of the NBA in offensive rebound rate, 3-pointers per game, and second-chance points per game.

Now, it has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Hawks. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Mavericks vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Hawks spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!