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Knicks vs. Heat line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Wednesday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Wednesday's matchup between the New York Knicks and the Miami Heat

By@SportsLineUpdated: Jan 26, 2022 10:01PM UTC . 3 min read

The New York Knicks visit the Miami Heat in a matchup between long-time rivals at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Miami is favored by 5.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 204 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Knicks vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 58-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Knicks are very good on defense. New York is allowing only 1.09 points per possession with the No. 2 mark in the NBA in points allowed in the paint. Opponents are shooting only 44 percent against the Knicks, with New York sporting top-10 marks in defensive rebound rate, second-chance points allowed and free throw attempts allowed. New York is also above-average in key offensive areas, making nearly 36 percent of three-point attempts and committing only 13.5 turnovers per game.

The model also knows the Heat are prolific on offense, scoring 1.12 points per possession. Miami is in the top five of the NBA in true shooting percentage, with the No. 2 mark in three-point accuracy and a top-five mark in free throw accuracy. The Heat pass the ball well, assisting on more than 65 percent of field goals, and Miami averages 25.7 assists per game. Miami also secures more than 29 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass, producing valuable second-chance opportunities.

Now, it has set its sights on Knicks vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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