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Kentucky vs. Michigan State line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Tuesday showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Tuesday's matchup between the No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats and the Michigan State Spartans in the 2022 Champions Classic

By@SportsLineUpdated: Nov 15, 2022 9:51PM UTC . 2 min read

The No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats take on the Michigan State Spartans in the 2022 Champions Classic at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Kentucky is a 7-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 141.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Kentucky vs. Michigan State picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated more than $1,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows Kentucky is pounding the offensive glass this season. The Wildcats are grabbing more than 35% of their own missed shots, and Kentucky is shooting 51.2% from 3-point range, a top-10 mark in the country. Kentucky is also in the top 20 nationally in assists per game (21.0) and assist percentage. 

The model also knows Michigan State has solid offensive metrics. The Spartans are committing a turnover on only 18.2% of offensive possessions and securing 29.3% of missed shots on the glass. Michigan State has six players averaging at least eight points, and Tom Izzo's team is shooting 51.4% inside the 3-point arc.

Now, it has set its sights on Kentucky vs. Michigan State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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