Heat vs. Hornets odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA Play-In matchup on Tuesday, April 14

The Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets look to extend their seasons when they meet in an NBA Play-In matchup on Tuesday night. The winner will play the loser of Wednesday's Magic-76ers matchup for the eighth seed on Friday, while the loser is eliminated. Miami won the season series 3-1, but Charlotte won the most recent game, 136-106 on March 17. The Heat (43-39), who were fourth in the Southeast Division, are 17-24 on the road this season. The Hornets (44-38), who finished third in the Southeast, are 21-20 on their home court. Miami shooting guard Pelle Larsson (leg) is out.

Tip-off from Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Heat lead the all-time series 83-50, and have won 10 of the last 12 meetings. The Hornets are a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Heat vs. Hornets odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 227.5. 

Before making any Heat vs. Hornets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine's model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the 2026 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 23-9 roll (72%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Heat vs. Hornets 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time!

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