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Fantasy Football: Week 4 rankings from the model that out-performed experts

The SportsLine Projection Model outperformed the experts big time last season, and it's back to give out some surprising projections for Week 4 of Fantasy football.

By@SportsLineUpdated: Sep 30, 2018 1:38PM UTC . 2 min read
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Before setting your Week 4 Fantasy football lineups, you need to see what our advanced computer model has to say. When it comes to ranking players, this model beat human experts in Fantasy football last season when there were big differences in ranking. And the model was closest-to-the-hole overall, meaning it best pinpointed where every player would finish each week. That could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

Last week, the model was high on Rams wide receiver Robert Woods. The result: Woods exploded for 104 yards and two touchdowns against the Chargers -- anybody who had him in their lineup was well on their way to a Week 3 victory.

Now the model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has revealed its rankings for Week 4 of the NFL season.

One player the model loves this week: Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers, who has at least two touchdowns in all three games this season and now takes aim at a 49ers pass defense that has given up the seventh-most points to quarterbacks this season. The model says Rivers out-performs QBs like Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger on Sunday.

And a massive shocker: Steelers WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, a top-five wideout who has 100 yards in every game so far, stumbles against the Ravens and finishes well outside the top 10 receivers. He's a player to bench in Week 4.

The model is also calling for a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about to finish in the top-12 of the rankings. This pick could be the difference between winning BIG and going home with nothing.

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