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Churchill Downs morning line, odds: Racing insider has Pick 4 picks, bets for Kentucky Derby Saturday, May 1

Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has had multiple five-figure days at the track and has dominated Derby prep races. Now, he targets the Pick 4 beginning with Race 9 on Kentucky Derby Saturday at Churchill Downs

By@SportsLineUpdated: Apr 30, 2021 11:30PM UTC . 3 min read

Saturday is Kentucky Derby Saturday at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky., and there's a Pick 4 that begins with Race 9 (the American Turf) at 3:40 p.m. ET and ends with the Kentucky Derby. Before you make any picks, you NEED to know how racing insider and accomplished horseplayer Bob Weir has handicapped the four-race sequence.

Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.

Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. In 2014, he hit a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar. The following year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. 

Last year, his first for SportsLine, Weir was on fire. In June, Weir hit a $2 superfecta in the Ogden Phipps Stakes that paid a whopping $1,039. He crushed the exacta and trifecta in the Forego Stakes in August for $1,134.50. He hit the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park on June 18, June 19, June 25, July 2 and July 5, with the June 25 score returning a whopping $2,159.50.

And this year, he hit the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby and the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes and Blue Grass Stakes, with the Tampa Bay Derby score returning $1,414. Those are just some of his scores in 2021.

Anyone who has followed Weir is way up.

Now, he has handicapped the late Pick 4 that begins with Race 9 at Churchill for Kentucky Derby Saturday, made his picks and constructed his tickets.

We can tell you that Weir is high on Tap It to Win, an 8-1 long shot in the Churchill Downs Stakes, the second leg of the Pick 4. "He earned a nice win in his return at Tampa against lesser, but that looks like the perfect prep," Weir tells SportsLine. Tap It to Win is Weir's top pick in the Churchill Downs Stakes and an A horse on his Pick 4 tickets.

In addition, Weir is high on a double-digit long shot on Saturday! Weir says this horse "could be coming around" and could spice up the Pick 4. Weir is using this long shot on his tickets, and so should you. You NEED to see Weir's analysis before making any Pick 4 selections.

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