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Chiefs vs. Raiders lines, odds: Spread pick, best bets for NFL Week 18 Matchup from Proven Model

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's game between Kansas City and Las Vegas in Week 18

By@SportsLinePublished: Jan 07, 2023 8:52PM UTC . 3 min read

The Kansas City Chiefs (13-3) and Las Vegas Raiders (6-10) will collide in an AFC West battle on Saturday. Kansas City is fighting for the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff bracket and is the winner of four in a row. Last week, the Chiefs defeated the Denver Broncos, 27-24. Las Vegas hopes to end the season on a high note after dropping two consecutive games. In Week 17, the Raiders fell to the San Francisco 49ers in overtime. Kickoff is at 4:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a nine-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Raiders odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the over/under for total points scored is 52.5.

Before you make any Chiefs vs. Raiders picks or NFL predictions, you need to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 160-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 14-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.

The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows Kansas City is ranked first in total offense (417.7) and passing offense (305.1). Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is a major reason for the success of this unit. Mahomes has pinpoint accuracy with the ability to improvise on a dime. The five-time Pro Bowler is first in the league in passing yards (5,048) and passing touchdowns (40). 

The model also knows the Raiders have dynamic weapons on the outside and rank 11th in passing offense (234.6). Davante Adams runs the complete route tree and creates separation with ease. Adams is 10th in receptions (95), third in receiving yards (1,443) and first in receiving touchdowns (14). He's gone over 100 yards in eight games this season. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Raiders on in Week 18. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks!

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