Game 4 of the 2024 NBA Finals has the Boston Celtics and the Dallas Mavericks colliding on Friday. The Celtics topped the Mavs 106-99 in Game 3, to gain a 3-0 series lead. Tipoff from American Airlines Center in Dallas is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The SportsLine consensus lists Boston as the 1-point favorite in the latest Celtics vs. Mavericks odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 210.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Celtics vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the 2024 NBA Finals on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Boston forward Jayson Tatum is a smooth three-level playmaker. His offensive talent is top-notch with good effort as a passer and rebounder. In the 2024 NBA playoffs, Tatum averages team-best in points (25.2), rebounds (10.1) and assists (6.2). In Game 3, he had 31 points, six boards and five assists.

The model also knows Dallas guard Kyrie Irving woke up in Game 3, but will need to show out again. Irving thrives as a shot creator with the ability to create space against any defender. He's putting up 22.6 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game. On Wednesday, Irving had 35 points and went 4-of-6 from downtown.

The model has simulated Celtics vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly in 60% of simulations!

Who wins Celtics vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 94-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!