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Celtics vs. Bucks line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Christmas Day matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's Christmas matchup between the Boston Celtics and the Milwaukee Bucks
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The Boston Celtics visit the Milwaukee Bucks in a Christmas Day showcase at 2:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Milwaukee is favored by seven points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 220.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Giannis Antetokounmpo has cleared health and safety protocols and is expected to play for Milwaukee.

Before making any Celtics vs. Bucks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 46-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $1,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Celtics have strengths on both sides of the floor. Boston is playing well on defense, allowing 1.07 points per possession, and opponents are shooting just 44.2 percent from the floor and 34.1 percent from three-point range against the Celtics. The Celtics are No. 3 in the NBA in assists allowed (21.7 per game), and Boston's offense does a good job on the margins. The Celtics are in the top five of the NBA in free throw volume and accuracy, with above-average ball security and a turnover rate of just 14.0 percent.

The model also knows the Bucks are capable of dominant play on either side of the floor. Milwaukee is in the top five of the NBA in three-pointers (14.1 per game) with above-average ball security and offensive rebounding. The Bucks are in the top 10 of the NBA in total rebound rate, and Milwaukee also lands in the top 10 in offensive and defensive rating. Boston struggles a bit in certain offensive areas, including bottom-tier shooting marks, and that plays into Milwaukee's hands in this matchup. 

Now, it has set its sights on Celtics vs. Bucks. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Celtics vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread has all the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Bucks spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

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SportsLine Staff