The Atlanta Hawks welcome the Milwaukee Bucks to State Farm Arena for an MLK Day contest at 6 p.m. ET on Monday. Milwaukee is favored by 5.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 232.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Bucks vs. Hawks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Milwaukee's defense is top-notch. The Bucks are allowing only 107.4 points per 100 possessions this season, with opponents shooting 43.8 percent from the field and 33.7 percent from 3-point range. Milwaukee is No. 6 in the NBA in free-throw attempts allowed (19.4 per game), with above-average marks in defensive rebound rate (73.5 percent), steals (7.8 per game) and fast break points allowed (11.6 per game). The Bucks are also near the top of the league in points allowed in the paint, giving up only 42.5 per game.

The model also knows the Hawks are dynamic on offense. Atlanta is No. 2 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 112 points per 100 possessions. The Hawks lead the NBA in ball security, committing a turnover on only 12.5 percent of possessions, and Atlanta makes 46 percent of its shots. The Hawks are in the top five in 3-point accuracy at 37.2 percent, with Atlanta also maximizing efforts at the free-throw line. The Hawks make 80.0 percent of free-throw attempts, a top-five mark in the NBA, and Atlanta averages 21.4 attempts per game.

Now, it has set its sights on Bucks vs. Hawks. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Bucks vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Bucks vs. Hawks spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!