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Boise State vs. San Diego State line, picks: Advanced computer college football model releases selections for Mountain West matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's Mountain West Conference matchup between the Boise State Broncos and the San Diego State Aztecs
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The No. 21 San Diego State Aztecs take on the Boise State Broncos in a key Mountain West Conference crossover matchup on Friday at noon ET on CBS. Boise State is favored by three points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 44.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page). 

Before making any Boise State vs. San Diego State picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows junior quarterback Hank Bachmeier leads the Broncos offense. For the season, he has completed 231 of 361 passes (64 percent) for 2,857 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has been picked off six times, but has a rating of 143.6. Bachmeier, who is on the Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award watch list, started all five games he appeared in last season. He has thrown for 300 or more yards in two games this year, including a 34-for-47 performance (72.3 percent) for four touchdowns and one interception.

The model also knows Aztecs senior quarterback Lucas Johnson has played in all 11 games this season, starting seven times. He has completed 105 of 167 passes (62.9 percent) for 993 yards and nine touchdowns against four interceptions for a 125.8 pass efficiency rating, while carrying 47 times for 164 yards (3.5 average), with a long run of 54 yards. Over his last three games, he is 51 of 74 passing (68.9 percent) for 467 yards and four touchdowns with one interception. Johnson began his career at Georgia Tech, where he played in 16 games including two starts.

Now, it has set its sights on Boise State vs. San Diego State. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins Boise State vs. San Diego State? And which side of the spread has all the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Boise State vs. San Diego State spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!

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SportsLine Staff