Ball State vs. Toledo prediction, odds, line: Advanced college football model reveals picks for Tuesday night's MAC West matchup

SportsLine's projection model has generated Week 11 CFB picks for the MACtion contest between the Ball State Cardinals and Toledo Rockets
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The Toledo Rockets look to all but lock up the Mid-American Conference West Division when they meet the second-place Ball State Cardinals on Tuesday MACtion. A win by the Rockets (6-3, 4-1) would give Toledo a two-game cushion in the division with just two games remaining. The Cardinals (5-4, 3-2), meanwhile, would move into a first-place tie with a win and hold the tie-breaker. The Rockets have won six of the last eight meetings with the Cardinals, including a 22-12 win at Ball State last year.

Kickoff from the Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio, is set for 8 p.m. ET. Toledo is an 11.5-point favorite in the latest Ball State vs. Toledo odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 50. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page.) 

Before you make any Ball State vs. Toledo picks or college football predictions, you NEED to see the predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Rockets, who are bowl-eligible for the 13th consecutive season, rank first in the MAC in scoring offense (35.9 points per game), second in passing efficiency (142.92), third in total offense (403.2) and rushing (187.4). With sophomore quarterback Dequan Finn's status still uncertain after missing last week's game due to injury, the Toledo offense may lean on sophomore running back Jacquez Stuart, who leads the team in rushing with 521 yards on 86 carries (6.1 average) and three touchdowns. Stuart has rushed for 100 or more yards three times this season, including a 14-carry and 107-yard effort at Buffalo on Oct. 22. He also rushed for a season-high 122 yards on 16 attempts (7.6 average) and one TD against Central Michigan on Oct. 1.

The model also knows Ball State is powered by sophomore running back Carson Steele, who has carried 221 times for 1,082 yards (4.9 average) and nine TDs. He has also caught 20 passes for 133 yards (6.7 average) and one touchdown. Steele was a big reason for Ball State's upset at Kent State last Tuesday, when he carried 29 times for a season-high 192 yards (6.6 average) and one score. He has surpassed 100 yards rushing in seven games, including each of the last four.

Now, the model has set its sights on Ball State vs. Toledo. We can tell you it is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins Ball State vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Ball State vs. Toledo spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!


SportsLine Staff

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