A 2022 Sun Belt Tournament battle is on tap between the No. 6 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves and the No. 11 seed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at 6 p.m. ET on Thursday at Pensacola Bay Center. Louisiana-Monroe is 13-17 while Arkansas State is 17-10. The Red Wolves are ranked sixth in the Sun Belt; Louisiana-Monroe is ranked 11th. 

The Red Wolves are favored by 6.5 points in the latest Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 141.5. Before you make any Louisiana-Monroe vs. Arkansas State picks and predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has simulated Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

So who wins Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.