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2026 Winter Olympics odds, picks: Canada vs. USA men's hockey Sunday's gold medal predictions from proven expert

Matthew Severance shares his Winter Olympics analysis and men's hockey picks for Sunday's Canada vs. USA gold medal game

ByPublished: Feb 21, 2026 4:28PM UTC . 2 min read

The gold medal will be on the line on Sunday when the United States takes on Canada for the 2026 Winter Olympics men's hockey championship. It will be the eighth time the U.S. and Canada will have met for the gold, and first since 2010 when the Canadians claimed gold in Vancouver. Canada reached the final with a 3-2 win over Finland on Friday, while the United States downed Slovakia 6-2. Canada has nine men's hockey gold medals, while the United States has two since the first Winter Games in Antwerp in 1920.

Canada enters as the -126 favorite, per FanDuel Sportsbook, while the U.S. is at +105. The over/under in total goals is 5.5. Sunday's puck drop is set for 8:10 a.m. ET from Palaltalia, Milan.

Before making any 2026 Winter Olympics men's hockey playoff picks or predictions, you need to see what hockey insider Matt Severance has to say.

Severance is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). He enters the Olympic break on a 26-12 roll on NHL money-line picks this season, returning $1,326 for $100 players. 

For the 2026 Winter Olympic Games, Severance is picking the Under 5.5 total goals. He's also found a critical x-factor that has him jumping all over a pair of best bets. 

So who wins Sunday's gold medal matchup between Canada and the United States, and what are the best bets for this matchup?  Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from the 2026 Winter Olympics, and find out!

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