2026 Dollar Tree 301 odds, picks: NASCAR at New Hampshire projected leaderboard from proven model
Mike McClure's NASCAR model has simulated the Dollar Tree 301 from New Hampshire Motor Speedway 10,000 times
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The Cup Series is down to two events before the NASCAR playoffs, starting with the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 on Sunday. It will be contested over the 1.058-mile asphalt oval at New Hampshire Motor Speedway at 3 p.m. ET. Joey Logano picked up his second win in four races last week, while Ryan Blaney enters 2026 NASCAR at New Hampshire as the defending champion. Denny Hamlin is a two-time winner at this track, sits atop the Cup Series standings and is coming off four straight top-5 finishes.
The Dollar Tree 301 2026 odds via FanDuel Sportsbook list Blaney and Christopher Bell as +400 co-favorites. Hamlin and Logano are both at +550 to utilize in NASCAR New Hampshire bets, with Chase Briscoe (+850) rounding out the top five. Meanwhile, Hamlin is at +125 to win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship. Tyler Reddick is on the pole with a time of 29.054 and a speed of 131.094 mph as he's stumbled down the NASCAR standings and seeks his first win since April.
Before making any 2026 Dollar Tree 301 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.
McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 31 winners since 2021 and 13 since 2025, including Denny Hamlin's back-to-back wins at Michigan and Pocono! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
For NASCAR at New Hampshire, the model is fading Joey Logano at +550, saying he finishes outside the top 5 despite just two drivers having shorter odds. On the other hand, it is high on Josh Berry at +1500. He's coming off three straight top 10s and has a strong history at New Hampshire with a pair of top-3 finishes.
The model has also identified two longshot values of around +2000 who make runs for the title!
So who wins the 2026 Dollar Tree 301, and which longshots should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that's nailed 31 winners since 2021 including back-to-back wins by Denny Hamlin!
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