2026 Cracker Barrel 400 odds, picks: NASCAR projected leaderboard from proven model

The NASCAR Cup Series will hold its second race under the lights this season with the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400 on Sunday. The green flag drops at 7 p.m. ET from Nashville Superspeedway, with Ryan Blaney the reigning race winner. However, five different drivers have won the five NASCAR Nashville races since this race debuted in 2021. Team Penske's gone back-to-back as Joey Logano won in 2024, but it's someone who has yet to prevail at Nashville who tops the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400 odds board.

Denny Hamlin is the +390 favorite, followed by Cup Series leader Tyler Reddick at +700. A trio of drivers are listed at +750, including Blaney, Kyle Larson and Christopher Bell. Logano is priced as a +2200 longshot for use in 2026 NASCAR Nashville bets.

Before making any 2026 Cracker Barrel 400 picks or NASCAR predictions, you need to see what auto racing insider Mike McClure has to say.

McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action, taking factors such as matchups and statistical trends into account. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 29 winners since 2021 and hit 11 winners in 2025! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.

For NASCAR at Nashville, the model is fading Tyler Reddick (+700), saying he barely cracks the top 10 despite being the second-favorite. Another surprise: Chase Elliott (+1900) is projected to make a strong run towards the title. Elliott is one of the five drivers to ever win this race, which came in 2022, and he also has a top 5 at Nashville since then.

The model has also identified three longshots of over +2000 who make a run for the top of the leaderboard.

So who wins the 2026 Cracker Barrel 400, and which longshots should you back? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed 11 winners last year, and find out.