2025 Daytona 500 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR leaderboard, Great American Race predictions from proven model
The Daytona 500 is the pillar of the NASCAR Cup Series schedule, and the 2025 season will begin with "The Great American Race" on Sunday, Feb. 16. William Byron won his first Daytona 500 last year, but Joey Logano took down the season-long title. Logano will enter the 2025 Daytona 500 as a three-time NASCAR Cup Series champion and will look for a second victory in the Super Bowl of stock car racing, having previously won NASCAR's premier event in 2015.
The green flag is scheduled to drop at 2:30 p.m. ET, and the 2025 Daytona 500 starting grid will race for 200 laps. Kyle Busch is the favorite at +1100 on FanDuel, followed by Denny Hamlin (+1200), Joey Logano (+1300), Ryan Blaney (+1300), Brad Keselowski (+1300), and Joey Logano (+1400) in the 2025 Daytona 500 odds, while Byron is +1800. Before making any NASCAR at Daytona predictions, you NEED to see the latest 2025 Daytona 500 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Our proven projection model has simulated the 2025 Daytona 500 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.
McClure's model began the 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott's win in the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray last weekend for a +300 payout. It also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021, too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 19 winners since 2021 and hit nine in 2023 alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks could have seen HUGE returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Daytona 2025 and released its projections.
For the 2025 Daytona 500, we can tell you the model is high on William Byron, even though he's a longshot at +1800 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Daytona odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Keselowski, one of the Vegas favorites, stumbles big time and barely cracks the top 10! There are far better values in the 2025 NASCAR Daytona starting lineup.
The model is also targeting two other drivers with odds longer than 15-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.
So who wins the 2025 Daytona 500, and which EPIC longshots are MUST-BACKS? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Daytona leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 19 winners, including predicting Chase Elliott to win last week's Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray!
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