The 2022 Houston Texans finished with a 3-13-1 record that was enough to earn them the No. 2 overall pick. After a change in coaching staffs and the selection of C.J. Stroud in the NFL Draft, the betting market placed the Texans' win total at 6.5 heading into the season, expecting a moderate improvement in Stroud's rookie season. Instead, Stroud and DeMeco Ryans led Houston to the AFC South title while winning 10 games and easily cashing for Over bettors. Meanwhile, the three teams with win totals at 11.5 all finished under, with the Kansas City Chiefs just missing out before their march to a Super Bowl title, the Philadelphia Eagles collapsing late in the season and the Cincinnati Bengals losing Joe Burrow to injury midseason.
Will disappointing 2023 teams like the Carolina Panthers, Washington Commanders and New England Patriots be able to follow the Texans blueprint? And will the top-rated teams this year again fall short of expectations in the win total market?
We asked a collection of SportsLine NFL experts to weigh in with their single best Over and Under win total play for the 2024 season. The respondents include Thomas Casale, Eric Cohen, Todd Fuhrman, Larry Hartstein, Jeff Hochman, Emory Hunt, Jimmie Kaylor, Erik Kuselias, Bruce Marshall, Mike Tierney and R.J. White.
You can see their best bets after we take a look at the full NFL 2024 win total odds table at FanDuel.
| Team | Wins | Over | Under |
| Arizona Cardinals | 7.5 | +124 | -152 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 9.5 | -134 | +110 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 10.5 | -122 | +100 |
| Buffalo Bills | 10.5 | +122 | -150 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5.5 | -124 | +102 |
| Chicago Bears | 8.5 | -160 | +130 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 10.5 | -120 | -102 |
| Cleveland Browns | 8.5 | -138 | +112 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9.5 | -144 | +118 |
| Denver Broncos | 5.5 | -102 | -120 |
| Detroit Lions | 10.5 | -132 | +108 |
| Green Bay Packers | 9.5 | -138 | +112 |
| Houston Texans | 9.5 | -150 | +122 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 | -104 | -118 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8.5 | -115 | -105 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11.5 | -118 | -104 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6.5 | -138 | +112 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8.5 | -144 | +118 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 8.5 | -152 | +122 |
| Miami Dolphins | 9.5 | -122 | +100 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7.5 | +134 | -168 |
| New England Patriots | 4.5 | -150 | +122 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7.5 | -130 | +106 |
| New York Giants | 6.5 | +122 | -150 |
| New York Jets | 9.5 | -162 | +132 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10.5 | -148 | +120 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | +116 | -144 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 11.5 | +120 | -148 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7.5 | -138 | +112 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.5 | -150 | +122 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6.5 | +104 | -128 |
| Washington Commanders | 6.5 | -115 | -105 |
Which teams have SportsLine's NFL experts locked in as a great Over value? And which win totals are experts' favorite to fade in the market? ... Join SportsLine right now to see 2024 NFL win total best bets SportsLine's roster of NFL experts!
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