A spot in the first round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament will be on the line when the Grambling State Tigers and Montana State Bobcats collide in a First Four game on Wednesday at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio. The Tigers (20-14) will be making their first appearance in the NCAA Tournament in program history. Meanwhile the Bobcats (23-11) are in the NCAA Tournament for the third straight year and sixth time in school history.

Tip-off is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Bobcats are favored by 4.5 points in the latest Montana State vs. Grambling State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 134.5.

Before making any Grambling State vs. Montana State picks or NCAA Tournament predictions, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page.)

The model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model knows that Montana State is an excellent 3-point shooting team. The Bobcats rank 32nd in the country in 3-point field goal percentage (36.7) and 35th in 3-pointers per game (9.0). During the Big Sky tournament, Montana State was even better, shooting 39.0% from behind the arc and averaging 10.0 3-pointers per game.

But the model also has taken into account that Grambling has played excellent defense all season. The Tigers allow just 69.0 points per game, which ranks second among all SWAC teams. In three SWAC tournament games, they clamped down even more, allowing just 56.3 points a game.

For Wednesday, the model has set its sights on the 2024 NCAA Tournament and Grambling State vs. Montana State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You absolutely need to see the model before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Grambling State vs. Montana State? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Montana State vs. Grambling State spread you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model that's 29-19 on top-rated college basketball picks!