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2023 NCAA Tournament Furman vs. San Diego State line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Saturday's second round matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated picks and best bets for Saturday's 2023 NCAA Tournament matchup between the No. 13 seed Furman Paladins and the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 18, 2023 2:00PM UTC . 2 min read

The No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs face the No. 13 seed Furman Paladins with a Sweet 16 berth on the line at 12:10 p.m. ET on Saturday. San Diego State is favored by 5.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 137.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Furman vs. San Diego State picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the 2023 NCAA Tournament 79-53 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,300 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Furman has a high-powered offense. The Paladins average more than 80 points per game, ranking in the top ten of the country in scoring average. Furman also averages 17 assists per game and shoots 58% from inside the arc, boosting overall efficiency. The model also knows San Diego State is dominant on defense. The Aztecs are in the top ten of the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. San Diego State holds opponents to 29% shooting from 3-point range, and the Aztecs also secure more than 74% of missed shots on the defensive glass. 

Now, it has set its sights on Furman vs. San Diego State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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