Ball Arena hosts Game 2 of the 2023 NBA Finals between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday. The Nuggets lead the series after winning Game 1 on Thursday. Denver is favored by 8 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 216.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Heat vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the 2023 NBA Finals a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat held the Nuggets to fewer than 1.12 points per possession in Game 1. Denver shot just 8-27 from 3-point range, and Miami secured 82.9% of available defensive rebounds. The Heat have a 111.5 defensive rating in the playoffs, and Miami is allowing only 11.5 fast break points and 44.8 points in the paint per game. Miami also creates turnovers at a strong rate, including 7.3 steals per contest. 

The model also knows the Nuggets shot 51% from the field and 62% inside the arc in Game 1. Denver struggled from long distance, but the Nuggets generated 29 assists and committed only 10 turnovers. Denver has the best offensive rating (119.2) in the 2023 NBA Playoffs, and the Nuggets also lead the league in myriad supporting categories. That includes true shooting percentage, assist-to-turnover ratio, and points in the paint.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Nuggets. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Nuggets spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model that's 72-38 on top-rated NBA picks!