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2022 Stanley Cup Final Lightning vs. Avalanche line, picks: Advanced computer NHL model releases selections for Game 5 matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's Stanley Cup Final matchup between the Colorado Avalanche and the Tampa Bay Lightning
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The 2022 Stanley Cup Finals proceed with Game 5 between the Colorado Avalanche and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 8 p.m. ET on Friday. Colorado is a -190 favorite (risk $190 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total goals is set at six (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NHL odds page). 

Before making any Lightning vs. Avalanche picks, you NEED to check out the NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each NHL game 10,000 times. It enters the second week of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final on a 23-18 run on its top-rated NHL side picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows Colorado is dominating the playoffs. Not only do the Avalanche lead the series by a 3-1 margin, but Colorado is 15-3 overall in the postseason. The Avalanche have converted six of 13 power play opportunities in the series, and they are also killing power plays exceedingly well (13 of 14) on defense. With the NHL's most potent offense and a home crowd, it is easy to be optimistic about the Avalanche.

The model also knows Tampa Bay has improved its defense in recent days. The Lightning have allowed only four regulation goals in the last two games. Tampa Bay also has experience on its side as a two-time reigning champion. The Lightning came back from a 3-2 series deficit already in these playoffs, and they will not be overwhelmed by the moment in Denver. 

Now, it has set its sights on Lightning vs. Avalanche. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NHL picks.

Who wins Avalanche vs. Lightning in Game 5 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Finals? And which side of the money line has ALL the value? Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Lightning vs. Avalanche matchup you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NHL picks!

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SportsLine Staff