The top-seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs take on the Georgia State Panthers to begin their 2022 NCAA Tournament run at 4:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. Gonzaga is favored by 22.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 149 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Georgia State vs. Gonzaga picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Georgia State is a very good defensive team. The Panthers led the Sun Belt in defensive efficiency this season, landing solidly above the national average in points allowed per possession. Georgia State was also No. 1 in the conference in turnover creation rate at 23.5 percent, a mark that ranks in the top 20 in the country. The Panthers led the Sun Belt in 2-point shooting allowed (43.6 percent) and steal rate (12.9 percent), with a stellar 12.6 percent block rate to boot. 

The model also knows Gonzaga has the best offense in the country, but the Bulldogs are also elite on defense. Mark Few's team is No. 7 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 1 in the nation in shooting efficiency allowed. Opponents are shooting only 41.6 percent on 2-point shots, the lowest mark in the country, and Gonzaga also holds the opposition to 30.7 percent from 3-point range. Gonzaga also lands in the top 25 of the country in free-throw prevention, block rate, assist rate allowed and defensive rebound rate.

Now, it has set its sights on Georgia State vs. Gonzaga. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Georgia State vs. Gonzaga? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Georgia State vs. Gonzaga spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!