The Atlanta Braves won the fewest games (88) of any playoff team in 2021, but once the dust had settled, Freddie Freeman and Co. were World Series champions. Then MLB shut down due to an owner-imposed lockout, leaving many free agents like Freeman in flux heading into 2022. After an agreement on a new collective bargaining agreement was finally struck between the owners and the MLBPA in mid-March, player movement took off, including Freeman leaving Atlanta to join the 2022 World Series favorites, the Los Angeles Dodgers. At +500, the Dodgers are the only team with shorter than 10-to-1 odds to win this year's World Series, but are they a good value bet to back before Opening Day?
Before you lock in your MLB futures bets, you need to see what the SportsLine projection model has to say.
The model owned MLB moneyline picks during 2021, turning in over $700 in profit on all A-rated plays from Opening Day until the World Series. It also had the Braves as one of its best division winner plays in 2021 before Atlanta earned the NL East crown and eventually the title of MLB champions. Now, the model as simulated the MLB season 10,000 times and found the best bets to deliver positive value in the MLB futures markets, including multiple shocking longshots.
One thing we can share: the model is not high on the Braves' chances at a repeat. Atlanta wins the 2022 World Series in just 6.08% of simulations, which is well below the 7.7% chance implied by their +1200 odds on Caesars. However, the model has identified four teams with positive sim value compared to their World Series odds, including one team that's a 25-to-1 longshot to win it all!
You can find all four best bets to win the World Series below, along with the SportsLine Projection Model's best bets to win each division. One shocking play: the model is projecting positive value on one division winner that would pay more than 10-to-1! You NEED to see which teams the model is backing before locking in your MLB futures picks.
So which four teams offer positive value on their 2022 World Series odds? And which teams make for best bets in the division winners market? Join SportsLine now to get all of the SportsLine Projection Model's MLB picks, including its best bets on MLB futures!