2022 Beijing Winter Games odds, picks: Best bets for speed skating and ski jumping from accomplished Olympics expert

Olympics expert Mike Tierney cashed big on the 2016 and 2020 Summer Games and 2018 Winter Games, and he has released his selections for the speed skating and ski jumping events Saturday
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There's a full slate of action on tap Saturday in the 2022 Beijing Winter Games, including the men's short-track speed skating 500 meters (3:53 a.m. ET) and the men's large-hill ski jumping (6 a.m. ET). 

Before locking in any Beijing Olympics 2022 picks or predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's Olympics expert, Mike Tierney, has to say. (Head over to SportsLine's 2022 Olympics page for more analysis and updates.)

A national sportswriter whose work appears in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered nine Olympic Games in person. For Rio in 2016, Tierney profited big-time. He told readers to bet Over on Team USA's gold medal count (41.5) and Over on Team USA's overall medal count (102.5). The result? 46 golds, 121 medals and two easy cashes.

For the 2018 Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, Tierney hit two of his three predictions: Germany (+200) to win the most gold medals and the United States winning Under 10.5 gold medals (+110). And at last year's Tokyo Games, he correctly predicted the United States would go Over 111.5 total medals (-110).

Now, Tierney has analyzed Saturday's events and locked in confident picks for the men's short-track speed skating 500 meters and men's large-hill ski jumping. 

We an tell you one of these picks is a long shot that Tierney says "is an overlooked former World Cup champion." You ABSOLUTELY need to see what he has to say before locking in your picks. 

Who wins gold in the men's short-track speed skating and large-hill ski jumping ? And what long shot is worth a flyer? Join SportsLine right now to find out whom you should back, all from the expert who has crushed his Olympic picks!

Here are Tierney's picks and analysis: 

Short track speed skating, men's 500 meters (3:53 a.m. ET) Shaolin Sandor Liu, Hungary (+400)

It could be a Liu-Liu of a finish in this event if the Hungarian brothers finish one-two. The advantage goes to the elder, Shaolin, who took half of the four World Cup events in the 500 this season. Shaong contracted COVID-19 and arrived late in Beijing, so he has ground to make up. The Lius, though born in Budapest, have a semi-homecourt edge; they speak Chinese and have spent considerable time training in the country. Shaolin holds the second-lowest odds behind Wu Dajing (+250) of the host nation.  

Ski jumping, men's large hill (6 a.m. ET): Karl Geiger, Germany (+1,500)

Geiger's odds have skyrocketed after a dismal 15th-place finish in the normal hill segment. Let's not lose sight that he is a World Cup champion and led in the latest overall standings until recently. Ryoyu Kobayashi of Japan, favored at +125 after leapfrogging Geiger in Cup points, captured gold in the normal hill, but the competition was tight. What's more, his track record in the major events is spotty dating to the 2018 Games, where he placed seventh and 10th in ski jumping disciplines. 

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Mike Tierney