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    2022 Outback Bowl odds, picks: Penn State vs. No. 21 Arkansas selections from advanced computer model for Saturday's game

    The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up almost $3,600 over the past five-plus years, has simulated the 2022 Outback Bowl matchup between the Nittany Lions and Razorbacks 10,000 times
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    The 2022 Outback Bowl will feature Penn State (7-5) and No. 21 Arkansas (8-4). The Nittany Lions will face the Razorbacks at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., on Saturday. 

    The Razorbacks are three-point favorites in the latest Penn State vs. Arkansas odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 50.5. (See the latest college football lines for all of this week's games on our college football odds page.) Kickoff is set for noon ET. 

    Before making any Penn State vs. Arkansas picks or college football predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

    The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also entered the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

    The model knows Penn State will be missing a key weapon. Star wideout Jahan Dotson has elected to sit out of Saturday's game to prepare for the 2022 NFL Draft. He hauled in 91 passes for 1,182 yards and 12 scores in 2021. The Nittany Lions' offense could struggle to produce without his reliable hands available. 

    The model also knows the Razorbacks' quarterback impacts games like few others can. KJ Jefferson has thrown for 2,578 yards and 21 touchdowns with just three interceptions. He's also racked up 554 rushing yards with five scores. Arkansas, however, is also dealing with a big loss at receiver since Treylon Burks has opted out. 

    Now the model has simulated Penn State vs. Arkansas 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in your own picks.

    Who wins the Penn State vs. Arkansas matchup in Saturday's Outback BowlAnd which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Penn State vs. Arkansas spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the computer model on a 43-30 run on its top-rated college football side picks!

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    SportsLine Staff

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