The 2021 Gasparilla Bowl is set for Thursday and will feature two Florida teams. UCF (8-4) will take on Florida (6-6) at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The Knights are riding a two-game winning streak, while the Gators hope to build on their narrow win over Florida State in their regular-season finale. 

The Gators are 6.5-point favorites in the latest UCF vs. Florida odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over/Under for total points scored is 55.5. (See the latest college football lines for all of this week's games on our college football odds page.) Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET.

Before you make any UCF vs. Florida picks and Gasparilla Bowl predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the second week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows UCF's offense has thrived without Dillon Gabriel. Since taking over as their starting quarterback, Mikey Keene has led the Knights to a 5-3 record. The freshman has thrown 16 touchdown passes with just six interceptions. The Knights rank inside the top 30 in passing touchdowns with 28 and have rushed for 25 scores. 

The model also knows Florida's offense relies on Emory Jones. The dual-threat quarterback threw for 2,563 yards and 19 touchdowns. He also tallied a team-high 697 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. 

Now the model has simulated UCF vs. Florida and the Gasparilla Bowl 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over the total, and it says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins the Gasparilla Bowl between UCF and Florida? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the UCF vs. Florida spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks!