I’m going to continue to fade Cristopher Sanchez when given 18.5 outs considering his current form. Sanchez has an ERA over 6.0 in the month of July, in addition to struggling away from Citizens Bank Park this season. He’s facing a Baltimore lineup that has been above average against opposing southpaw pitchers as well.

Hunter Brown and the Astros will be facing off against a familiar opponent in the Texas Rangers who have nearly 100 ABs against Brown. The Rangers have also been hitting well recently and have been fairly stingy from a strikeout standpoint recently as well. Ultimately I think Brown lands on fewer than 7 Ks tonight.

We’re getting an excellent price point here as Hunter Greene is facing what has not only been the top lineup over the last 30 days (tied with LAD for wOBA) but an extremely potent lineup all season where they rank 2nd. Greene has been shaky from the mound and with prop at plus money, this is shaping up as an excellent fade in my opinion.

Sonny Gray is taking the mound today against his former team. This looks like a good spot to back the veteran hurler at a reasonable number. Gray’s strikeout numbers are down this year and as a result we’re getting a nice discount.

This is a big number for Dustin May who has been largely inconsistent this season from the mound. It is also a tough matchup against a hot Cubs lineup that ranks second in Weighted On Base Average over the last 30 days. The Cubs also possess strong career numbers against May.

I’ve been very encouraged by Gerrit Cole in the month of July as the former Cy Young winner appears to have returned to form. He’s coming off of his best start of the season where he recorded 21 whiffs on 53 strikes. I like his chances of piling up another 7+ Ks today versus a White Sox lineup that has struck out at an above average rate this season. I’m also backing Cole to go 6+ innings today but like both of these props.

I like this spot for Gerrit Cole who has looked more like himself through the month of July. He’ll be facing a surprisingly potent Chicago White Sox lineup, however I like his chances of getting in at least 6 IP. I also will be backing Cole on his strikeout line of 6.5 as well. He had his best start of the season from a whiff standpoint and appears to pitching without limitations.

Zack Wheeler is pitching as well as anyone in the majors at the moment. He looks highly motivated and definitely took his All-Star snub personally. He’s been downright dominant in the month of July and I like that trend to continue today versus an average Miami lineup. I’d comfortably play this at 7.5 as well for plus money.

Cristopher Sanchez has firmly established himself as one of the best pitchers in the majors, however this is a lot of outs against a very potent New York Yankees lineup. The Yankees rank top 10 in Weighted On Base Average against opposing southpaws. Meanwhile, Sanchez hasn’t looked as good recently surrendering 14 ER in his previous three appearances.

Sean Manaea faces what is arguably the most difficult matchup for a starting pitcher against a Dodgers lineup that has had great success over a massive sample size versus the veteran southpaw. In addition to how potent LA’s offense has been, they also strikeout at one of the lowest rates in the majors while having a sterling 21% K Rate against Manaea over a massive 141 career ABs. Look for Manaea to struggle on the bump today in what could be a short today for the veteran hurler.

I’m comfortable taking a big number here on Logan Webb who continues to work deep into games, especially when pitching at the friendly confines of Oracle Park. Webb will face an Angels lineup that has performed poorly throughout the season, in addition to ranking bottom 10 in wOBA over the last 30 days and on the season. I like Webb’s chances of putting in another 7 IP today.

Trevor Rogers has been locked in and pitching well since June 1st, however I believe him to be a regression candidate. We’re also getting an excellent price here coupled with a difficult matchup against an Atlanta lineup that has really begun to heat up over the last two weeks. Atlanta’s lineup also has solid career numbers versus Rogers over a significant sample size.

This is a great price point considering Kevin Gausmans career numbers against Tampa Bay coupled with how good Tampa’s lineup has been this season. The Rays just snapped a losing streak and I like their chances of having success at the plate today. Tampas lineup has elite career numbers versus Gausman over a significant sample size.

This looks like a good spot to fade Ryan Weathers who has been inconsistent from the mound this season. He’ll face a Pirates lineup that has been exceptional both in the short term and over the duration of the entire season. Pittsburgh’s lineup ranks 2nd in Weighted On Base Average both on the year and over the last 30 days. Meanwhile Weathers has failed to eclipse this number in his last three outings.

This looks like a good spot to back Robbie Ray who will be returning to Seattle to pitch in what shapes up to be an excellent matchup. Ray has been largely effective this season and will face a Mariners lineup that possesses the lowest weighted on base average in the majors over the last 30 days. Couple that with a very pitcher friendly park, I like Rays chances of getting in at least 6 innings today.