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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). In the 2025 college football season, Matt finished 76-53 (plus $960). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
LAST 13 NFL PICKS
+842.5
RECORD: 10-3-0
+842.5
10-3 IN LAST 13 NFL PICKS

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Matt's Picks (5 Live)

Feb 06 2026, 7:45 pm UTC
League
Lille
@ Metz
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+182
9-4-1 in Last 14 FRAN Picks
+102
6-3-1 in Last 10 FRAN ATS Picks
Analysis:

Our model has Lille 1.7-1.1. ...

Pick Made: 5:33 pm UTC on Caesars
Feb 06 2026, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Nottingham Forest
@ Leeds United
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit0.25
Analysis:

We now have the draw option. ...

Pick Made: 1:54 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 07 2026, 12:30 am UTC
League
Miami
@ Boston
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit2.0
+331.5
12-6 in Last 18 NBA Picks
+216
5-3 in Last 8 NBA ML Picks
+1044
33-16 in Last 49 BOS ML Picks
Analysis:

Nikola Vucevic faces his former Bulls guys. ...

Pick Made: 12:46 pm UTC on FanDuel
Feb 07 2026, 1:00 am UTC
League
Bradley
@ N. Iowa
Money LineSubscribers Only
Unit2.0
+942
24-13 in Last 37 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

UNI tries to avoid a sweep. ...

Pick Made: 4:17 am UTC on bet365
Feb 08 2026, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Seattle
@ New England
Over/UnderSubscribers Only
Unit1.5
+842.5
10-3 in Last 13 NFL Picks
+27
3-2 in Last 5 NFL O/U Picks
Analysis:

Drake Maye has been very sack-prone. ...

Pick Made: Jan 26, 7:08 pm UTC on DraftKings
Matt's Past Picks
Feb 06 2026, 3:00 am UTC
League
Philadelphia
115
@ L.A. Lakers
119
+331.5
12-6 in Last 18 NBA Picks
+216
5-3 in Last 8 NBA ML Picks
+1185.5
33-14 in Last 47 PHI ML Picks
Analysis:

This will jump if Joel Embiid sits (doubt). And I don't want to mention him, but usually I only have to reference when back the Sixers. I'd be fine him sitting tonight. And I think Paul George is one of the most overrated players of his generation. But he's a very good defender. Him being out suspended for a while won't probably matter that often, but he would be the main guy on Luka and/or LeBron. Now Philly doesn't have a strong defender to deal with either. You think Dominick Barlow will do something? Also, I believe certain home games are much more important -- including those after a long road trip to reset momentum. That's where the Lakers are following their Grammys Trip.

Pick Made: Thu 10:28 pm UTC on Caesars
Feb 06 2026, 2:00 am UTC
League
Idaho
66
@ Montana St.
73
+942
24-13 in Last 37 NCAAB ML Picks
+500
5-0 in Last 5 MONST ML Picks
Analysis:

Montana State is tied for second in the Big Sky and two up on Idaho. KenPom ranks the Bobcats 34 spots higher. They lost by 3 at Idaho on Jan. 10 but that only makes me like this a bit more. And that game was crazy with MSU up 18 at the half. Montana State has won seven in a row at home. Jed Miller has opened Big Sky play on a tear with 20 or more points six times and two double-doubles in the first 10 games. He leads the team in just about every category. So, yeah, please don't get into foul trouble/tweak an ankle. The Bobcats commit fewer turnovers than any other team in the Big Sky.

Pick Made: Thu 12:52 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 06 2026, 1:00 am UTC
League
Charlotte
109
@ Houston
99
+331.5
12-6 in Last 18 NBA Picks
+216
5-3 in Last 8 NBA ML Picks
+310.5
13-7 in Last 20 CHA ML Picks
Analysis:

Charlotte has been really impressive of late and Houston is in the second of a B2B. But this seems a bit light at Houston -- still a talent gap. Actually believe the Rockets getting punked at home last night only helps matters. Coby White will not make his Hornets debut not that it would change my mind.

Pick Made: Thu 9:33 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 06 2026, 12:30 am UTC
League
Florida
1
@ Tampa Bay
6
+557
30-19-8 in Last 57 NHL Picks
+77
2-1-3 in Last 6 NHL ATS Picks
+293
7-2-1 in Last 10 FLA ATS Picks
Analysis:

I'll miss the NHL for three weeks. I CRUSHED it after the break last year but a bit of a different break this time, so we shall see. I hadn't planned to play this as I thought the Bolts would give No. 1 netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy the game off to give his backup a rare start with three weeks off coming, but nope it's Vasy. He has won seven straight with just 12 goals allowed. The Panthers seem to be punting in the second of a B2B with Brad Marchand among those out -- and backup Daniil Tarasov in net. I do plan to do Olympic men's hockey plays in the newsletter but sadly can't officially on here so sign up.

Pick Made: Thu 11:18 pm UTC on BetRivers
Feb 06 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
Nashville
2
@ Washington
4
+1526
28-12 in Last 40 NHL ML Picks
+217.5
26-16 in Last 42 NSH ML Picks
Analysis:

Second of a back-to-back for Nashville, which was dragged to OT last night in a wild (pun intended) back-and-forth loss to Minnesota (hence the wild). That means backup netminder Justus Annunen tonight. He tends to run extremely hot and cold but generally cold away at 2-3-2 with a 3.59 GAA. Not a B2B for the Caps, who start No. 1 Logan Thompson (2.30 home GAA). And top-six forward Pierre-Luc Dubois returns after a 47-game injury absence.

Pick Made: Thu 7:00 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 06 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
Ottawa
2
@ Philadelphia
1
+557
30-19-8 in Last 57 NHL Picks
+77
2-1-3 in Last 6 NHL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Teams are fairly even so we basically take the home team getting the +1. Third game in a different city in four nights for the Senators. The Flyers played their best game in a while Tuesday in beating Washington. Dan Vladar improved to 10-3-4 with a 2.43 GAA at home. Always a bit extra motivation for pro teams to avoid a season sweep to any foe, and that's Philly tonight as it lost the first two vs. the Sens by a goal each.

Pick Made: Thu 12:59 pm UTC on BetRivers
Feb 05 2026, 3:00 am UTC
League
Memphis
129
@ Sacramento
125
+331.5
12-6 in Last 18 NBA Picks
+216
5-3 in Last 8 NBA ML Picks
+35
18-10 in Last 28 MEM ML Picks
Analysis:

The Memphis front office traded away its best player on Tuesday in Jaren Jackson Jr., and most everyone else notable is out. Start of a long trip for the Grizz, who are 1-6 in their past seven. Sacramento hasn't traded Domantas Sabonis .... yet. He's expected to play after missing a couple. Rare true chance for a win for the Kings, who have dropped nine in a row. You'd think all those vets have some pride left to avoid a double-digit slide. It's their first home game since Jan. 21.

Pick Made: Wed 11:35 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 05 2026, 2:30 am UTC
League
St. Louis
4
@ Dallas
5
+557
30-19-8 in Last 57 NHL Picks
+77
2-1-3 in Last 6 NHL ATS Picks
+365
19-11-1 in Last 31 STL ATS Picks
Analysis:

BetRivers wasn't offering -1 until recently (only -1.5), although I'm prepared for possible craziness in the finale for both before the break. The Blues are free-falling with one victory in their past eight. Jordan Binnington, who is supposedly Team Canada's No. 1, has lost his past six outings while posting a 4.38 GAA and an .829 save percentage. It's Jake Oettinger for the Stars, and he'll be on Team USA. Oettinger is riding a five-game winning streak during which he has a 2.74 GAA.

Pick Made: Wed 9:03 pm UTC on BetRivers
Feb 05 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
Texas St.
77
@ Ga. Southern
71
+942
24-13 in Last 37 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

KenPom ranks Georgia Southern eight spots higher for this Sun Belt matchup. The hosts are 6-5 in the league and Texas State 6-6. The Eagles' best player? That would be graduate transfer guard Spudd Webb (16.2 PPG), apparently not related to the former dunk king. At home this season, Georgia Southern is 8-3 while averaging 85.6 PPG and outscoring foes by more than 14. TSU has won back-to-back games but those were at home. It has a single road win, coming at truly dreadful UL Monroe and even that was close. When playing Georgia Southern on the road, the Bobcats are 1-7 all-time.

Pick Made: Wed 1:19 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 05 2026, 12:00 am UTC
League
Chicago
0
@ Columbus
4
+557
30-19-8 in Last 57 NHL Picks
+77
2-1-3 in Last 6 NHL ATS Picks
+1046.5
28-13-1 in Last 42 CLB ATS Picks
Analysis:

Don't love that red-hot Columbus is in the second of a back-to-back, but its superior goalie is in tonight in Jet Greaves, who is unbeaten in six appearances (one in relief). Not like he played Tuesday at New Jersey. And top-line forward Kirll Marchenko (46 points) is expected to play after missing Tuesday with an illness.

Pick Made: Wed 8:04 pm UTC on BetRivers
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