Jacksonville State's running game, ranked 4th in yards per game, is designed to exploit Kennesaw State's defensive weaknesses. If the Gamecocks dominate time of possession and control the tempo, they can limit Kennesaw State's offensive opportunities. The Gamecocks have built a historical home-field advantage tradition, maintaining a .731 winning percentage all-time at AmFirst Stadium. Kennesaw State has struggled away from the friendly confines of Georgia, posting a 2-2 record. My model indicates that the wrong team is favored, and Jacksonville State should be favored by -2.3 points. Look for the home team to defeat the Owls for the third straight time and improve to 4-0 ATS as home dogs of late.
