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Nov 08 2025, 3:30 pm ET

Cyclones

20

@ Horned Frogs

17

Point SpreadTCU -3 -120

LOSS

Unit1.5

Thomas Casale

Casale on Campus

Profile →

+266

5-2-1 in Last 8 NCAAF Picks

+66

3-2-1 in Last 6 NCAAF ATS Picks

Thomas's Analysis:

I'm jumping on TCU a week early at -3 for 1.5 units. This number is available at DraftKings. Iowa State is favored to beat Arizona State with Sam Leavitt out but and while I think they win at home, I don't see this number moving in that scenario. However, if the Cyclones lose, we will see a big shift. I love the spot for TCU at home coming off a bye. I don't think Iowa State's secondary with two starting corners out can stop Josh Hoover and the Frogs' offense. I'll lay the field goal.

Pick Made: Nov 01, 1:10 am ET on DraftKings

Team Injuries

All Games

ALL

All Games

33%

3-6

4-3-1

57%

On Road

LOCATION

At Home

25%

1-3

3-1

75%

As Underdog or PK

STATUS

As Favorite

50%

1-1

4-3

57%

When Spread was +5.5 to +9.5

SPREAD

When Spread was -9.5 to -5.5

0%

0-0

1-0

100%

As Road Underdog

LOCATION & STATUS

As Home Favorite

50%

1-1

3-1

75%

vs Teams That Win >70% of Games

OPP WIN%

vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games

25%

1-3

2-0

100%

vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG

OPP DEFENSE

vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG

0%

0-0

2-0-1

100%

After <=8 Days Off

REST

After >8 Days Off

0%

0-0

4-3-1

57%

vs TCU

HEAD TO HEAD

vs IOWAST

0%

0-0

0%

OPPONENT	W/L	ATS	ML	O/U
@OKLAST11/29/2025	20-13WIN	-14.0LOSS	-662WIN	46.5UNDER
KANSAS11/22/2025	14-38WIN	-3.5WIN	-163WIN	55.5UNDER
@TCU11/08/2025	20-17WIN	+7.5WIN	+241WIN	58UNDER
ARIZST11/01/2025	24-19LOSS	-7.5LOSS	-293LOSS	48.5UNDER
BYU10/25/2025	41-27LOSS	-2.5LOSS	-145LOSS	49.5OVER

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