Kaiden Bennett put on a show last weekend against North Dakota, accumulating over 320 yards of total offense with three touchdowns. His ability to create outside of structure, and be a plus-1 in the run game, gives defenses fits. Expect him to be the difference maker in what should be a rather tight game.

As in non-power college hoops have to rely first on models I trust for FCS games (before looking myself), and they all have South Dakota winning at least by a field goal. If we go simply by seed, this does feel low as South Dakota is the No. 3 in the playoffs and Sac State 15. The Coyotes have one of the best defensive players at the FCS level in LB Brock Mogensen, and he leads a unit that has held seven of 10 FCS offenses to seven points or less. RB Travis Theis is the sixth-leading rusher in program history, while WR Carter Bell is the fifth-leading receiver in program history. Kicker Will Leyland hasn't missed this year. What's not to like?