Like it did a year ago, Troy rolled down the stretch with nine straight wins, which should qualify HC Jon Sumrall for some higher-profile assignment. For the moment, he stays with the Trojans, who are glad to have him. Troy continues to ride the 1-2 combo of QB Gunnar Watson (20 TDP) and RB Kamani Vidal (over 1349 YR) spearheading a balanced attack, while the Trojan defense ranks as the Sun Belt's best. Someone had to provide the opposition here and App State's recent win over then-unbeaten JMU suggests the Mounties should have a puncher's chance, but Troy has been so outclassing the rest of the Belt that we are loathe to pick the spot they can't. Play Troy

The total has conveniently inched up even as the weather forecast calls for rain and wind. App State's five-game win streak has been triggered by an altered defensive approach. In three outings, the Mountaineers allowed nine, 14 and 20 (in regulation) points. The conditions might tempt App State to stick to the ground. Good luck with that. Troy's 12th-ranked defense is especially stingy against the rush. If the visitors want to throw, be forewarned that the Trojans have amassed 20 sacks the past three games.

Appalachian State has won five straight and covered their last four with QB Joey Aguilar playing at his best with 17 TDs and 4 interceptions. The big win was the 26-23 overtime win at James Madison. But Troy has been on a different roll themselves with a defense that allows only 300 ypg and 16 ppg. Troy has won its last nine games covering seven of their last eight. QB Gunnar Watson has been running a tight show weekly with 15 TD passes and one pick in his last five starts. I'm on the better defense. I’m on Troy to cover.