ANALYSIS: It’s only two games, but I see a stark difference in this year's Michigan State team (which is averaging 553.0 yards of offense) compared to last year's team (which went 2-5 in Mel Tucker’s first year as coach). Spartans QB Payton Thorne has managed the games well (five touchdowns, zero interceptions). The running game is averaging 299.0 yards per game. I don’t disagree with the spread, but I have to go with what I’ve seen. Miami looks sluggish; Michigan State is making plays. Michigan State to cover.