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    Sat, Apr 0610:09 pm UTCState Farm Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    NC State
    Wolfpack
    NCST
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L25-15
    ATS17-21
    O/U19-17-3
    FINAL SCORE
    50
    -
    63
    Purdue
    Boilermakers
    PURDUE
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L30-5
    ATS21-16
    O/U23-15-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    25-15
    Win /Loss
    30-5
    17-21
    Spread
    21-16
    19-17-3
    Over / Under
    23-15-0
    Key Injuries
    No Key Player Injuries
    No Key Player Injuries
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    NCST @ PURDUE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    NCST @ PURDUE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    NCST @ PURDUE
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    57%
    PUBLIC
    43%
    MONEY
    47%
    PUBLIC
    53%
    MONEY
    Over58%
    PUBLIC
    Under42%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadNC State +9.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1219
    60-43-2 in Last 105 CBB Picks
    +879
    42-30-1 in Last 73 CBB ATS Picks
    +465
    8-3 in Last 11 PURDUE ATS Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    The public is all over NC State. As mentioned before, the Boilermakers are on a mission this year to prove they can be like Virginia and winning a title last losing to a 16-seed the previous season. Zach Edey will get his down low, but the Wolfpack have three above-average defenders in Burns Jr., Middlebrooks, and Diarra to throw at him. Even though they were down by seven at half against Duke, the Wolfpack showed that they have the ability to fight back on the defensive side then capitalize on offense. Feeding off the energy of one another, their guards are playing just as well as Purdue’s on both sides of the court to be able to cover the number.

    Pick Made: Apr 06, 6:45 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadNC State +9.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1340
    54-37-1 in Last 92 CBB Picks
    +1110
    55-40-1 in Last 96 CBB ATS Picks
    +277
    5-2 in Last 7 NCST ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    Recent wins over top-tier Duke (by 12), Marquette (by 9), Texas Tech (by 13), and North Carolina (by 8) suggest this is more than luck propelling NCS. Purdue is a real challenge, but matchups might not work badly for the Wolfpack if bruising 6-9, 275-lb. DJ Burns can stay on the floor, as he likely is able to push Zach Edey out a bit further as opposed to the way he sat on the low blocks vs. Tennessee in the Elite 8, when he scored 40. That became the Boilermakers' default options as 3s weren't falling as they normally do vs. the Vols, but if triples wane again in Glendale, Purdue will have its hands very full. Play NC State (NCAA at Glendale, Az)

    Pick Made: Apr 06, 7:52 am UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadPurdue -8.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1302
    83-63-3 in Last 149 CBB ATS Picks
    +870
    12-3 in Last 15 NCST ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Initially I was leaning Wolfpack but upon further review, their lack of depth is going to be a problem. Not from a fatigue standpoint, but via foul trouble. NC State played just seven players in its Elite Eight win. Purdue is hitting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc over its last three games, right around its season average of 40.6 percent (2nd nationally). Zach Edey's presence will continue to open up 3-point shots. NC State has held its last three opponents to 24.4 percent from deep, but some of that is luck that could regress.

    Pick Made: Apr 05, 3:33 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadPurdue -8.5 -105
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1621
    23-6-1 in Last 30 CBB ATS Picks
    Thomas's Analysis:

    There's not much value betting the Final Four favorites but once I got an 8.5 with Purdue, I pulled the trigger. NC State has been on an amazing run, although they just don't match up well with Zach Edey in the paint. DJ Burns is a beast but he's more of an offensive player who can be a liability on defense. Mohamed Diarra is likely to get into early foul trouble guarding Edey and that will put the Wolfpack at a big disadvantage. NC State ranked last in the ACC in defensive rebounding percentage and opponent's free throw attempts per game. That's a recipe for disaster vs. Purdue. Boilermakers pull away and win by double-digits.

    Pick Made: Apr 05, 6:31 am UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadNC State +9.5 -114
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +436
    10-6 in Last 16 CBB Picks
    +336
    9-6 in Last 15 CBB ATS Picks
    +286
    4-1 in Last 5 NCST ATS Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    NC State is the type of team that gives Purdue some problems and they've won nine straight since their last loss against Pittsburgh. They're on fire. They beat Duke twice, Carolina, Texas Tech, and Virginia. The secret to their success has been not turning the ball over. I think Purdue should be about five at most, anything else is a gift. Teams in red seem to give trouble for Purdue for whatever reason. I think Purdue wins but it's going to be a struggle. I like NC State plus the points.

    Pick Made: Apr 04, 5:41 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadPurdue -8.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1950
    86-60-2 in Last 148 CBB Picks
    +1375
    79-59-2 in Last 140 CBB ATS Picks
    +489
    6-1 in Last 7 PURDUE ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    What NC State has done during their nine game winning streak is limit teams offensively. They did it to the Tar Heels, Duke twice, and Marquette. At times in this tournament we have seen Zach Edey give less than 100 percent effort, and guard play has been sporadic for stretches. This is where I expect the coaching edge to prevail on Matt Painter’s side. Timely timeouts and substitutions to get Purdue where they need to be. Purdue will match NC State on the defensive end of the floor, and without a doubt will have two to three offensive surges that the Wolfpack can’t contain. Lay it with the Boilermakers.

    Pick Made: Apr 04, 5:30 pm UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    NC State Wolfpack
    No Player Injuries
    Purdue Boilermakers
    No Player Injuries
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