Samford has won 20 of its last 21 games and stands alone as the only top-100 team in the Southern Conference, per KenPom, but I've got the Bulldogs falling on Thursday night in Greensboro against a UNCG team that's found better form in recent weeks. In the seven-game stretch since the first meeting between these two teams (a 79-70 Samford win) the Spartans are 6-1 and have had three of their four most efficient offensive performances of the season. It's also a clash of styles with Samford playing fast and UNCG playing slow, so I give the edge to the home team to control the pace and play their way.