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    Sat 04/01 | 10:09 PM UTC | Houston
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    FAU Owls 33-3, 24-12 ATS
    FAU +2-110
    FAU +118
    Over 130.5-110
    San Diego St. Aztecs 31-6, 19-17 ATS
    SDGST -2-110
    SDGST -140
    Under 130.5-110

    Expert Picks

    CBB | FAU 71 @ San Diego St. 72 | 04/01 | 10:09 PM UTC

    San Diego St. -145

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: I live in south Florida and can tell you that FAU meeting Miami in the national title game would barely cause a ripple down here. Just not a college hoops hotbed. It would be a great story for the Owls to advance but there's a reason a No. 9 seed has never made the title game, although you could certainly argue that FAU should have been better-seeded. SDSU is so good defensively it has to be the pick. Coach Brian Dutcher's squad did not allow a fast-break point against either Alabama or Creighton and has held the four combined foes in the Dance to 17.0 percent shooting from three-point range (16-for-94). We saw the superior defensive team beat the superior offensive club from Conference USA in the NIT final on Thursday (North Texas over UAB, both from C-USA).

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +2021 174-111-1 IN LAST 286 CBB PICKS
    +1001 112-64 IN LAST 176 CBB ML PICKS
    +185 3-1 IN LAST 4 FAU ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    33-3, 24-12 ATS
    31-6, 19-17 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    66%
    24-12
    19-16-1
    54%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    66%
    14-7
    12-9
    57%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    75%
    6-2
    16-14-1
    53%
    When Spread was +1 to +4.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -4.5 to -1
    80%
    4-1
    2-4
    33%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    75%
    6-2
    9-7
    56%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    69%
    9-4
    11-11
    50%
    vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
    77%
    7-2
    6-8
    42%
    After 4+ Days Off
    REST
    After 4+ Days Off
    66%
    12-6
    9-11-1
    45%
    vs SDGST
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs FAU
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%