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    Sat, Apr 0110:09 pm UTCNRG Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Florida Atlantic
    Owls
    FAU
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L33-4
    ATS25-12
    O/U20-17-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    San Diego State
    Aztecs
    SDGST
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L31-7
    ATS19-18
    O/U16-22-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    33-4
    Win /Loss
    31-7
    25-12
    Spread
    19-18
    20-17-0
    Over / Under
    16-22-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    F
    No Key Player Injuries
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    FAU @ SDGST
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

    MONEYLINE
    FAU @ SDGST
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    OVER / UNDER
    FAU @ SDGST
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

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    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Over / UnderUNDER 132 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +620
    17-10 in Last 27 CBB Picks
    +520
    25-18 in Last 43 CBB O/U Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    During their current eight game winning streak, only two teams have managed to top the 60 point mark against the Aztecs, Colorado State (61) and Alabama (64). If not for a desperate rally in the final minutes, the Crimson Tide wouldn't have broken 60, and if the game on Saturday goes as I believe it will, nor will FAU. The Owls have been pretty efficient offensively but I see this game played in the 50s to low-60s similar to their matchup against Tennessee in the Sweet 16 (117 total). Add in the odd shooting dynamics being in a large dome stadium and I feel pretty good about the under in the first game of Saturday's Final Four doubleheader.

    Pick Made: Apr 01, 5:24 am UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 132 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Mike's Analysis:

    The hottest streak in the NCAA Tournament is San Diego State and Unders. It has scored in a dozen straight. The Aztecs are 266th in possessions per game, but it's not just pace of play. They embrace lock-down defense. FAU has gone 5-2 on Unders in the postseason. While the Owls carry an up-tempo tag, they rank just above the midway point for average possessions. This matchup resembles FAU versus Tennessee, a game that produced 117 points. Shooters can get befuddled in football arenas, so the setting in Houston could depress scoring.

    Pick Made: Mar 31, 11:54 pm UTC on Caesars
    Money LineSan Diego St. -145
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2021
    174-111-1 in Last 286 CBB Picks
    +1001
    112-64 in Last 176 CBB ML Picks
    +185
    3-1 in Last 4 FAU ML Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    I live in south Florida and can tell you that FAU meeting Miami in the national title game would barely cause a ripple down here. Just not a college hoops hotbed. It would be a great story for the Owls to advance but there's a reason a No. 9 seed has never made the title game, although you could certainly argue that FAU should have been better-seeded. SDSU is so good defensively it has to be the pick. Coach Brian Dutcher's squad did not allow a fast-break point against either Alabama or Creighton and has held the four combined foes in the Dance to 17.0 percent shooting from three-point range (16-for-94). We saw the superior defensive team beat the superior offensive club from Conference USA in the NIT final on Thursday (North Texas over UAB, both from C-USA).

    Pick Made: Mar 31, 9:35 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadSan Diego St. -2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1975
    111-83-1 in Last 195 CBB ATS Picks
    +556
    10-4 in Last 14 SDGST ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    I wouldn't go any higher than 2.5 but at this price I like San Diego State, with its incredibly physical defense, to control the pace and cover. FAU has a slew of capable scorers. I'm skeptical, however, that they can create enough separation versus the Aztecs' bigger defenders. SDSU also has gotten a big lift offensively from Darrion Trammell and Lamont Butler, lessening the pressure on Matt Bradley.

    Pick Made: Mar 31, 7:57 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 131.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +170
    5-3 in Last 8 CBB Picks
    Tom's Analysis:

    San Diego State has been one of the best three-point defenses in the country all season, and it's taken things to another level in the tournament. FAU is overly reliant on threes to score points. I don't see a lot of value on the spread, but no matter the result, I don't see this game being a high-scoring affair.

    Pick Made: Mar 31, 5:32 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadFAU +3 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1170
    26-13 in Last 39 CBB ATS Picks
    +490
    6-1 in Last 7 SDGST ATS Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    San Diego State has the 4th best defense in terms of efficiency. However, the Aztecs offense are only 70th in the offensive efficiency. Florida Atlantic is top-30 in both offensive, 24th, and defensive, 29th, efficiency. The Owls have been the better offensive team this season and the Aztecs aren’t going to blow a team away with their offense. The Owls rely heavily on the three, shooting 36.5 percent on the season and San Diego State also guards the perimeter very well, holding opponents to 27.8 percent on the season. Florida Atlantic as also been the more efficient team from the line, 73.2 percent to 66.7 percent over their last three games. The Owls are the more balance team on both sides of the ball. I'm on Florida Atlantic.

    Pick Made: Mar 30, 4:23 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 132 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +510
    37-29-2 in Last 68 CBB Picks
    +390
    16-11 in Last 27 CBB O/U Picks
    Chip's Analysis:

    San Diego State has one of the best defenses in the country and it's been stellar here in the postseason. Since the start of the Mountain West tournament, the Aztecs are giving up an average of 56.6 points per game to opponents, with just two of those seven teams even breaking 60. SDSU will look to put the clamps on FAU just like it to its other tournament foes, but the Owls have their own issues to work out that could limit scoring. FAU is a team that has relied on the 3-pointer heavily during the year but the team isn't shooting it well right now. The Owls are a strong defensive team in their own right and will need excellence on that side unless the shooting woes are fixed with the move to a football stadium.

    Pick Made: Mar 28, 1:17 am UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    Florida Atlantic Owls
    Saturday, Mar 23, 2024
    Avatar
    F
    Tre Carroll
    Elbow
    San Diego State Aztecs
    No Player Injuries