Expert Picks
CBB | Miss. St. 49 @ Alabama 72 | 03/10 | 6:00 PM UTC
Alabama -7 -110
WIN
ANALYSIS: Mississippi State has been doing a great job of grinding out wins with its aggressive defense and top-end offensive rebounding, going 8-3 since Jan. 28 with quality wins over Arkansas, TCU and Texas A&M. But at some point you have to make shots when you play a team like Alabama, and shot-making is not the strength of this Mississippi State team. While the Bulldogs might start hot with some confidence coming off the OT win on Thursday, the top seeds are the top seeds for a reason and I'll take the Tide over 40 minutes to cover the spread.
Season Splits
21-12, 16-17 ATS
31-5, 21-15 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
16-17
18-14
56%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
47%
8-9
9-8
52%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
55%
5-4
16-12
57%
When Spread was +6 to +10
SPREAD
When Spread was -10 to -6
50%
2-2
5-2
71%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
Favored on Road or Neutral
66%
4-2
7-6
53%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
50%
8-8
10-7
58%
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
45%
5-6
10-8
55%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After 4+ Days Off
50%
7-7
11-8
57%
vs BAMA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MISSST
33%
1-2
2-1
66%