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    Fri 03/10 | 6:00 PM UTC | Nashville
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Miss. St. Bulldogs 21-12, 16-17 ATS
    MISSST +8-110
    MISSST +300
    Over 140.5-110
    Alabama Crimson Tide 31-5, 21-15 ATS
    BAMA -8-110
    BAMA -385
    Under 140.5-110

    Expert Picks

    CBB | Miss. St. 49 @ Alabama 72 | 03/10 | 6:00 PM UTC

    Alabama -7 -110

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Mississippi State has been doing a great job of grinding out wins with its aggressive defense and top-end offensive rebounding, going 8-3 since Jan. 28 with quality wins over Arkansas, TCU and Texas A&M. But at some point you have to make shots when you play a team like Alabama, and shot-making is not the strength of this Mississippi State team. While the Bulldogs might start hot with some confidence coming off the OT win on Thursday, the top seeds are the top seeds for a reason and I'll take the Tide over 40 minutes to cover the spread.

    author-image

    Chip Patterson

    Shoot Your Shot
    +510 37-29-2 IN LAST 68 CBB PICKS
    +320 23-18-2 IN LAST 43 CBB ATS PICKS
    +90 2-1 IN LAST 3 BAMA ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    21-12, 16-17 ATS
    31-5, 21-15 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    48%
    16-17
    18-14
    56%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    47%
    8-9
    9-8
    52%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    55%
    5-4
    16-12
    57%
    When Spread was +6 to +10
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -10 to -6
    50%
    2-2
    5-2
    71%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    66%
    4-2
    7-6
    53%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    50%
    8-8
    10-7
    58%
    vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
    45%
    5-6
    10-8
    55%
    After <4 Days Off
    REST
    After 4+ Days Off
    50%
    7-7
    11-8
    57%
    vs BAMA
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs MISSST
    33%
    1-2
    2-1
    66%