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    Sat 02/04 | 11:30 PM UTC | Durham
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    N. Carolina Tar Heels 20-12, 11-21 ATS
    UNC +2.5-110
    UNC +126
    Over 145-110
    Duke Blue Devils 27-8, 16-19 ATS
    DUKE -2.5-110
    DUKE -150
    Under 145-110

    Expert Picks

    CBB | N. Carolina 57 @ Duke 63 | 02/04 | 11:30 PM UTC

    N. Carolina +3 -112

    LOSS

    ANALYSIS: Want to note first that this is a play for me at +3 or better, since there are some +2.5's in the market at the time of this publishing. The odds of this being a one-possession game seem high given the rivalry and the pressure on both teams to get victories in the few quality win opportunities remaining on the schedule. A low-scoring clunker with both teams playing tight would not surprise me, but that gives even more of an edge to a North Carolina team with more consistent scoring options. Also, a few rivalry notes that work in our favor: UNC has won four straight games in Durham (and 5 of the last 7) and four times in the last 7 years the visiting team has won the midseason meeting.

    author-image

    Chip Patterson

    Shoot Your Shot
    +510 37-29-2 IN LAST 68 CBB PICKS
    +320 23-18-2 IN LAST 43 CBB ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    20-12, 11-21 ATS
    27-8, 16-19 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    31%
    7-15
    8-14
    36%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    18%
    2-9
    5-6
    45%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    0%
    0-4
    8-13
    38%
    When Spread was +1 to +5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -5 to -1
    0%
    0-3
    0-3
    0%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    0%
    0-4
    5-6
    45%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    23%
    3-10
    3-8
    27%
    vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
    28%
    2-5
    2-7
    22%
    After <4 Days Off
    REST
    After 4+ Days Off
    25%
    2-6
    4-6
    40%
    vs DUKE
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs UNC
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%