Expert Picks
CBB | N. Carolina 57 @ Duke 63 | 02/04 | 11:30 PM UTC
N. Carolina +3 -112
LOSS
ANALYSIS: Want to note first that this is a play for me at +3 or better, since there are some +2.5's in the market at the time of this publishing. The odds of this being a one-possession game seem high given the rivalry and the pressure on both teams to get victories in the few quality win opportunities remaining on the schedule. A low-scoring clunker with both teams playing tight would not surprise me, but that gives even more of an edge to a North Carolina team with more consistent scoring options. Also, a few rivalry notes that work in our favor: UNC has won four straight games in Durham (and 5 of the last 7) and four times in the last 7 years the visiting team has won the midseason meeting.
Season Splits
20-12, 11-21 ATS
27-8, 16-19 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
31%
7-15
8-14
36%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
18%
2-9
5-6
45%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
0%
0-4
8-13
38%
When Spread was +1 to +5
SPREAD
When Spread was -5 to -1
0%
0-3
0-3
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-4
5-6
45%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
23%
3-10
3-8
27%
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
28%
2-5
2-7
22%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After 4+ Days Off
25%
2-6
4-6
40%
vs DUKE
HEAD TO HEAD
vs UNC
0%
0-0
0-0
0%