Gonzaga pushes the pace as fast as any team in the nation. Creighton will not back down, though. The Bluejays play at the 42nd fastest pace in the nation. Their offense ranks 23rd in efficiency and Creighton is 14th best in effective field goal percentage. Gonzaga is 7-2 to the over in its last nine games. The Bulldogs have the No. 1 offense in the nation in terms of efficiency. My model has the total at 166 here.

Creighton is 0-6 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament as an underdog and is shooting 43.9 percent over its last eight games. The Zags have won 25 straight by double digits and were not overly impressive -- by their standards -- in their 16-point win over Oklahoma. Marcus Zegarowski and the Bluejays have the firepower to keep it interesting, but only for a while. Lay the points.