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Sun, Jun 235:35 pm UTCPNC Park
78 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Tampa Bay
Rays
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L80-82
ATS89-73
O/U68-86-8
FINAL SCORE
3
-
1
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L76-86
ATS86-75
O/U77-81-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
80-82
Win /Loss
76-86
89-73
Spread
86-75
68-86-8
Over / Under
77-81-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TB @ PIT
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MONEYLINE
TB @ PIT
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OVER / UNDER
TB @ PIT
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19%
PUBLIC
81%
MONEY
15%
PUBLIC
85%
MONEY
Over97%
PUBLIC
Under3%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadPittsburgh -1.5 +140
LOSS
Unit1.0
+398.5
51-54 in Last 105 MLB ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

We continue to ride the Paul Skenes train. His team shows up for him and the crowd goes not for him and they cash for us. Pirates are 6-1 when he starts with 5 straight wins and 4 of their wins in his starts are by 2 runs or more. Pirates have scored 6 runs or more in 5 of his 7 starts. Rays bottom 6 in MLB in Ks and 5th worst in chase rate and 4th worst in zone contact rate - which bodes well for the Pirates rookie starter. Aaron Civale has been lost all year for the Rays. Rays lost 8 straight of his starts; 5 by 2+ runs. Rare home RL favorite cover for Buccos

Pick Made: Jun 23, 2:46 am UTC on DraftKings
Money LinePittsburgh -140
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1027.25
78-44 in Last 122 MLB ML Picks
+806.5
45-24 in Last 69 TB ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This definitely feels at least 25 cents light with Paul Skenes scheduled for the Bucs. Not only is the rookie dominant, but he's getting some of the best run support in the majors at 7.29 runs per game. Just a different vibe around the team as a whole when he's on the hill. Tampa Bay's Aaron Civale is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA on the road. The Rays also lost infielder Amed Rosario in today's game after taking a pitch to the dome. He'll be OK but likely will need at least a game off in potential concussion protocol. Rosario leads the club with a .301 average.

Pick Made: Jun 22, 9:18 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Rays
Friday, Aug 22, 2025
Avatar
DH
Yandy Diaz
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
RF
Richard Palacios
KneeIl
Thursday, Aug 21, 2025
Avatar
RF
Stuart Fairchild
ObliqueIl
Avatar
SS
Ha-seong Kim
BackIl
Wednesday, Aug 20, 2025
Avatar
SP
Alex Faedo
ShoulderIl
Avatar
CF
Jonny DeLuca
HamstringIl
Avatar
SS
Taylor Walls
GroinIl
Avatar
RP
Manuel Rodriguez
ForearmIl
Avatar
RP
Nathan Lavender
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Hunter Bigge
LatIl
Sunday, Aug 17, 2025
Avatar
RP
Jonathan Hernandez
UndisclosedIl
Monday, Aug 11, 2025
Avatar
1B
Jonathan Aranda
WristIl
Avatar
SP
Shane McClanahan
TricepsIl
Sunday, Aug 10, 2025
Avatar
RP
Andrew Wantz
ElbowIl
Friday, Jul 25, 2025
Avatar
RP
Alfredo Zarraga
UndisclosedIl
Pittsburgh Pirates
Wednesday, Aug 20, 2025
Avatar
CF
Oneil Cruz
ConcussionIl
Avatar
1B
Endy Rodriguez
ElbowIl
Sunday, Aug 17, 2025
Avatar
P
Cristofer Melendez
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
P
Derek Diamond
UndisclosedIl
Monday, Aug 11, 2025
Avatar
RP
Tim Mayza
LatIl
Avatar
RP
Justin Lawrence
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Jul 30, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Jul 29, 2025
Avatar
3B
Jack Brannigan
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, May 21, 2025
Avatar
1B
Enmanuel Valdez
ShoulderIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
38-40, -665
37-40, -305
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
19-17, +210
19-20, -200
48%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
45%
17-20, -161
15-18, -703
45%
When Line was +125 to +155
MONEY LINE
When Line was -182 to -152
50%
3-3, +122
3-3, -122
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
12-11, +273
9-12, -579
42%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
61%
13-8, +338
12-20, -747
37%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
58%
27-19, +406
20-29, -1009
40%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
28-28, -308
24-30, -622
44%
vs PIT
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
66%
2-1, +116
1-2, -111
33%
when Aaron Civale starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Paul Skenes starts
31%
5-11, -663
5-3, +99
62%
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