Frank Martin's Minutemen destroyed Rhode Island last time out, but I don't see consecutive strong performances with an elite defensive team like Dayton coming to town. UMass thrives on offensive rebounds, but the Flyers -- one of the nation's tallest teams -- rank second in the Atlantic 10 in defensive rebounding. Second-place Dayton's current three-game win streak includes a road win over first-place VCU and a 14-point home win over third-place Saint Louis. UMass didn't miss leading rebounder Matt Cross (12.9 ppg, 6.3 rpg) versus Rhode Island, but his absence will be felt here. Lay the points.